We recorded a lot of discussions about the acceptability of Igor Dodon, President of PSRM, as the president of Moldova. It is true, firstly, that if this is the free choice of the Moldovan citizens, if Dodon is chosen in a democratic scrutiny as President, everyone will respect this choice, which, however, will be defining and symbolic for Chisinau. Therefore I wanted to go over what it means, what it carries and how life with Dodon as president will.

First of all, the main subjects of Dodon's campaign – who is not confronting anyone, does not appear with anyone, is not entering in the studio with anyone and runs like hell from any public or TV debate, preferring only the press releases and arranged interviews, being alone - are: a) the strategic reorientation of the Republic of Moldova towards Russia, towards Customs Union and Euro-Asian Union (from which Lukashenko announced that want's to exit; as for Nazarbaev, invite him to Chisinau and he will be the biggest promoter of the idea of not joining the Russian project, because his country, Kazakhstan, lost all the markets to Russia, Russia that took all she could through his Southern neighbor and eve tried a few times to disturb the arranged natural succession); after that, b) federalization of Moldova and its transit in the right side of the Dniester, through the veto vote of Chisinau, if it will ever, in time, would like to go through Orient; finally, c) the left wing government of the guys that have money, enriched from the political life and public functions like Dodon himself, and so on!...  

The symbolical message send by Moldova if it will elect Dodon as president will be one that will mean the detachment of the western path, from the integration in the EU. Some (even diplomats form Chisinau) will be very relieved because: if Moldova would step seriously on the path of reforms and knocked at EU's door, with all the chances, achieved reforms, with institutions build and running, with corruption combating updated to the present day, it would be difficult to find reasons for blocking its path. This way the things are much more easy to solve, the motives would be on top: the Republic of Moldova is not serious in its orientation, it is doubting by the chosen path, there is no real support and the European choice is proving to be not sustainable.  

In other words, voting Dodon is a window towards instability. It is already been announced: Dodon wants anticipated elections and to sweep everything into his net. A normal thing from a politician, even it is harder to understand if you are a businessman, who sees all parties as corporations or companies. Probably, not from the first moment, because he needs to take over the control and the institutions, but, in 6 months, Dodon would have the power to do whatever he pleases, without being supported by the majority or Parliament. Dodon is not Nicolae Timofti - we will see how much will regret Moldova the decency and the firmness of oppinions - but a Voronin, with the most occupied seats in the Parliament, which he is leading firmly.        

So, Probably the first moves will be to pause the European path and to reevaluate the change of azimuth. A period of reflection as long he is taking over the power and its tools. Meanwhile, the speeches about federalization and attacks towards Romania will be loud enough to enter in conflict with the Parliament majority and the Government, to resort even to arbitration at Constitutional Court.    

So, one more time: the instability, the break with EU and, most certainly, with Romania, the ceasing of material help and programs that are fated to European reforms, not recession with Russia, that has no money not for its self, neither for Dodon and the Republic of Moldova, and risks to stop paying in the next year (they cut funding in Donbass).  

More than that, the reforms that started are going to yield results: this means reorganizations, therefore staff reductions, increasing energy prices, with bills which will be seen in March. The dissapointed people will go out, obviously, in the street, with the stimulus of the party, and this strengthened by the election of Dodon. Supported by the President, the overthrow of the majority and government is, in such circumstances, only a matter of time. And if someone moves on the front, and arrests - deserved or abusive - are all in President's hand; because the road to the Asian steppes and the Eurasian Union of Putin does not need the rule of law, but only a Grandfather who tells his people where they get off.  

Even worse than the strategic reorientation, the messages to partners, financing cut and the political instability, respectively the fall into authoritarianism of the state leadership, is, though, the irreversibility of the Western road. Practically, if Moldova makes a mistake this time, it is her last mistake, and the gates of the European path are closing for at least one generation. Everything, of course, for the "flourishing" socialism of Dodon and from the play with fire of some warlock apprentices, that have no idea how people feel and react, citizens, social groups, state institutions, which are not engaged in the commercial-economic mechanism, dominated and ordered by the unaccounted money circuit.  

However, there is a more black perspective. The presidential elections, especially those that will imply a real opponent fro Dodon, will divide the society. Again! Besides the blocs that Moldova already has. In addition, the victory of Dodon will be hardly accepted by the pro-European voters. Individual solutions exist, but only at the level of one half of the voters. The active ones who also want perspectives, cannot go with the others, will have an unpredictable reaction and I am really afraid to see even more violent contesting episodes after the election of Dodon. With also unpredictable consequences. 

For Romania, which is in the electoral campaign period in both cases, as in the first, as in the second round of the ballot, the impact of the elections in Moldova will be a major one. We are not in 2014 anymore, at the presidential elections, where the vote preceded the ballot and had a result of maintenance of the European vector. The magnitude of changes - as the eventual one of instability - will put the last month of the campaign in Romania under the empire of an endless debate about culprits, responsibilities, action or inaction, a fact that threatens to alter deeply the voting results, in any case, to pick up any help for a country that elects Dodon and that goes to Russia. A complex equation, that raises the stake at the direct presidential elections in Chisinau, also the responsibility of the voters from the Republic of Moldova for their own destiny. The same as underlines the responsibilities and blames for the right-wing pro-European leaders, who, due to ambition and pride, did not respect their commitments and thus diminished the chances of a pro-European president in Chisinau.